Chapter 4 · The end of House Suirkrond

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 73

1. #10213 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,323,630
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.86
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,332,305

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,210
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×1.20
   Result	39,019

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 73

1. #10215 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	790,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	559,710

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	19,980
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×1.20
   Result	23,474

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Gauman and Mausllo marry era 73

1. #10252 Gauman and Mausllo marry (commoner).

   Chance that season: 12.00%

2. #10251 Mausllo, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle by marrying Gauman.

   Chance that season: 12.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Guilskaith founds House Mathsond era 73

1. #10289 Guilskaith founds House Mathsond.

2. #10288 Guilskaith, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Stianess had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Mueness era 73

1. #10335 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,397,970
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.86
   the drought #10327	×0.30
   Result	351,783

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	35,100
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the drought #10327	×0.30
   Result	10,309

2. #10327 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Stianess era 73

1. #10337 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	833,490
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.60
   the drought #10327	×0.30
   Result	146,207

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the drought #10327	×0.30
   Result	6106

2. #10327 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Zailira era 73

1. #10338 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	231,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.85
   the drought #10327	×0.30
   Result	58,012

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	5670
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the drought #10327	×0.30
   Result	1665

2. #10327 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Skolzel, of House Suirkrond, dies era 73

1. #10345 Skolzel dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mosskos, ruler of the Methllerk, dies era 73

1. #10370 Mosskos dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Suirkrond dies out era 73

1. #10371 House Suirkrond dies out.

2. #10370 Mosskos dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 4 claimants to the seat of Mosskos era 73

1. #10372 The succession opens.

   • Tuindtuend: 13 supporters (ties 240, own house 90, command 832, prestige -13)
   • Dosduend: 12 supporters (ties 322, own house 150, command 384, prestige 336)
   • Lloththue: 5 supporters (ties 281, own house 90, command 280, prestige 5)
   • Guilskaith: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 112, prestige 2)

2. #10370 Mosskos dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? No one prevails: Tuindtuend and Dosduend contest the seat era 73

1. #10373 Succession crisis: no one prevails.

   • Tuindtuend: 13 supporters (ties 240, own house 90, command 832, prestige -13)
   • Dosduend: 12 supporters (ties 322, own house 150, command 384, prestige 336)
   • Lloththue: 5 supporters (ties 281, own house 90, command 280, prestige 5)
   • Guilskaith: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 112, prestige 2)
   • The leader's margin: 312 ‱ of the total support

2. #10372 The succession opens.

   • Tuindtuend: 13 supporters (ties 240, own house 90, command 832, prestige -13)
   • Dosduend: 12 supporters (ties 322, own house 150, command 384, prestige 336)
   • Lloththue: 5 supporters (ties 281, own house 90, command 280, prestige 5)
   • Guilskaith: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 112, prestige 2)

3. #10370 Mosskos dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Dosduend, at the head of Llaness era 73

1. #10375 Dosduend is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #10370 Mosskos dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Mueness era 74

1. #10405 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,445,850
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.86
   the season	×1.20
   the drought #10399	×0.30
   Result	436,597

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	36,180
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×1.20
   the drought #10399	×0.30
   Result	12,752

2. #10399 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought leaves Stianess short of grain era 74

1. #10407 Harvest in Stianess: 64% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	861,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   the drought #10399	×0.30
   Result	181,416

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	21,600
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×1.20
   the drought #10399	×0.30
   Result	7613

2. #10399 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Zailira era 74

1. #10408 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	239,400
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.85
   the season	×1.20
   the drought #10399	×0.30
   Result	71,885

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	5940
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×1.20
   the drought #10399	×0.30
   Result	2093

2. #10399 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Llaness era 74

1. #10430 Harvest in Llaness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,132,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the drought #10423	×0.30
   Result	266,205

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	69,390
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the drought #10423	×0.30
   Result	20,702

2. #10423 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 74

1. #10431 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	871,290
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.60
   Result	509,459

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	21,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   Result	21,412

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Tuindtuend succeeds Mosskos era 74

1. #10443 The succession is settled in favor of Tuindtuend.

   • Tuindtuend: 13 supporters (ties 254, own house 90, command 832, prestige -13)
   • Dosduend: 12 supporters (ties 328, own house 150, command 384, prestige 336)
   • Lloththue: 5 supporters (ties 283, own house 90, command 280, prestige 5)
   • Guilskaith: 3 supporters (ties 260, own house 90, command 168, prestige 3)
   • The leader's margin: 303 ‱ of the total support

2. #10373 Succession crisis: no one prevails.

   • Tuindtuend: 13 supporters (ties 240, own house 90, command 832, prestige -13)
   • Dosduend: 12 supporters (ties 322, own house 150, command 384, prestige 336)
   • Lloththue: 5 supporters (ties 281, own house 90, command 280, prestige 5)
   • Guilskaith: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 112, prestige 2)
   • The leader's margin: 312 ‱ of the total support

3. #10372 The succession opens.

   • Tuindtuend: 13 supporters (ties 240, own house 90, command 832, prestige -13)
   • Dosduend: 12 supporters (ties 322, own house 150, command 384, prestige 336)
   • Lloththue: 5 supporters (ties 281, own house 90, command 280, prestige 5)
   • Guilskaith: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 112, prestige 2)

4. #10370 Mosskos dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10444 The laws accept take_office as it was asked.

• #10445 Tuindtuend is set at the head of Mueness.

• #10446 Tuindtuend takes the seat of the Methllerk.

Why? Gauman and Tuindtuend, at odds era 74

1. #10447 Gauman and Tuindtuend: from none to rival.

   • Regard between the two: -61

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Tuindtuend and Chuenzias, friends era 74

1. #10468 Tuindtuend and Chuenzias: from none to friend.

   • Regard between the two: 62

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? A new species is born from the Talmirthor: the Liartriask era 74

1. #10498 Event: speciation.

2. #1435 Event: trait_evolved.

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 74

1. #10525 Harvest in Llaness: 95% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,189,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	186,353

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	72,900
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	14,499

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The laws refuse what Vey asked era 75

1. #10545 The laws reject send_weather.

   • Law of structure (behind_the_veil): no one knows what lies beyond the mist, not even the gods, and what cannot be seen cannot be touched — cell 0; region 0

2. #10544 Order community-0008 (send_weather) is applied, asked for by Vey.

Root: An order from the community: Vey asked for it, and it passed through the laws.

Why? The drought leaves Mueness short of grain era 75

1. #10549 Harvest in Mueness: 93% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,551,690
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.86
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #10541	×0.30
   Result	273,325

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	38,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #10541	×0.30
   Result	7994

2. #10541 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 75

1. #10550 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,204,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	132,105

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	73,710
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	10,262

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 75

1. #10551 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 355,513 rations were missing

2. #10550 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,204,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	132,105

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	73,710
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	10,262

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10558 Season in Llaness: 21 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,047,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10551	×0.29
  Result	210,736

• #10562 Zuisueth dies (hunger, 23 years old).

  Chance that season: 11.86%

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Stianess era 75

1. #10552 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	921,690
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #10541	×0.30
   Result	113,175

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	23,220
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #10541	×0.30
   Result	4774

2. #10541 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Zailira era 75

1. #10553 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	257,670
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.85
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #10541	×0.30
   Result	45,133

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	6480
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #10541	×0.30
   Result	1332

2. #10541 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Dosduend, head of Llaness, dies era 75

1. #10561 Dosduend dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 19.51%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Zuisueth, of House Ziabruil, dies of hunger era 75

1. #10562 Zuisueth dies (hunger, 23 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.86%

2. #10551 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 355,513 rations were missing

3. #10550 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,204,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	132,105

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	73,710
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	10,262

4. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Zaulchath founds House Lluigath era 75

1. #10564 Zaulchath founds House Lluigath.

2. #10563 Zaulchath, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Llanthueto, at the head of Llaness era 75

1. #10568 Llanthueto is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #10561 Dosduend dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 19.51%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 75

1. #10576 Harvest in Mueness: 74% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,569,960
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.86
   the season	×0.30
   Result	395,062

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	39,420
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×0.30
   Result	11,578

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 75

1. #10577 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,078,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	50,694

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	65,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	3931

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 75

1. #10578 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 385,205 rations were missing

2. #10577 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,078,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	50,694

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	65,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	3931

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10585 Season in Llaness: 8 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,833,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10578	×0.12
  Result	81,891

• #10589 Lazath dies (hunger, 25 years old).

  Chance that season: 17.79%

• #10590 Llanthueto dies (hunger, 63 years old).

  Chance that season: 25.44%

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 75

1. #10579 Harvest in Stianess: 62% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	932,400
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	163,557

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	23,490
   the weather: cycle	×0.98
   the season	×0.30
   Result	6899

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zesbrain, of House Saisdauth, dies era 75

1. #10588 Zesbrain dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Lazath, of House Ziabruil, dies of hunger era 75

1. #10589 Lazath dies (hunger, 25 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.79%

2. #10578 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 385,205 rations were missing

3. #10577 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,078,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	50,694

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	65,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	3931

4. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Llanthueto, head of Llaness, dies era 75

1. #10590 Llanthueto dies (hunger, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 25.44%

2. #10578 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 385,205 rations were missing

3. #10577 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,078,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	50,694

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	65,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	3931

4. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Ziabruil dies out era 75

1. #10593 House Ziabruil dies out.

2. #10590 Llanthueto dies (hunger, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 25.44%

3. #10578 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 385,205 rations were missing

4. #10577 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,078,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	50,694

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	65,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	3931

5. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Saisdauth dies out era 75

1. #10594 House Saisdauth dies out.

2. #10588 Zesbrain dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Melchau, at the head of Llaness era 75

1. #10597 Melchau is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #10590 Llanthueto dies (hunger, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 25.44%

3. #10578 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 385,205 rations were missing

4. #10577 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,078,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	50,694

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	65,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	3931

5. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 75

1. #10610 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,588,230
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.86
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,615,619

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	39,960
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	47,448

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 75

1. #10611 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	899,010
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	164,415

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	55,080
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	12,788

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 75

1. #10612 Famine in Llaness.

   • 49% of what was needed was eaten; 184,057 rations were missing

2. #10611 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	899,010
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	164,415

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	55,080
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	12,788

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10618 Season in Llaness: 27 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,528,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10612	×0.49
  Result	269,902

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 75

1. #10613 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	943,110
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	668,773

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	23,760
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	28,212

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Skiarksta, of House Sonthui, dies era 75

1. #10621 Skiarksta dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Rasstemui founds House Stuiszal era 75

1. #10624 Rasstemui founds House Stuiszal.

2. #10623 Rasstemui, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Zailira had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Mueness era 75

1. #10636 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,607,130
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.86
   the drought #10631	×0.30
   Result	408,711

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	40,230
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the drought #10631	×0.30
   Result	11,942

2. #10631 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 75

1. #10637 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	871,920
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	132,884

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	53,460
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	10,343

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 75

1. #10638 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 204,668 rations were missing

2. #10637 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	871,920
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	132,884

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	53,460
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	10,343

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10644 Season in Llaness: 22 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,482,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10638	×0.41
  Result	219,596

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Stianess era 75

1. #10639 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	953,820
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the drought #10631	×0.30
   Result	169,092

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	24,030
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the drought #10631	×0.30
   Result	7133

2. #10631 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Zailira era 75

1. #10640 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	267,120
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.85
   the drought #10631	×0.30
   Result	67,551

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	6750
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the drought #10631	×0.30
   Result	2003

2. #10631 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Labraimuin, head of Stianess, dies era 75

1. #10647 Labraimuin dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Thailchais, at the head of Stianess era 75

1. #10649 Thailchais is set at the head of Stianess.

2. #10647 Labraimuin dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Marriage arranged between Thailchais and Lleso era 75

1. #10657 Thailchais and Lleso marry (political).

2. #10655 Tuindtuend decides: arrange_marriage.

   Motive of Tuindtuend

   arrange a marriage (chosen)	weight 2532 · 35.59%
   wait	weight 4581
   the people's value: community	×1.21
   the people's value: honor	×1.04

Root: A decision by Tuindtuend, with its motives.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 75

1. #10663 Harvest in Llaness: 29% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	819,630
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	87,440

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	50,220
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6801

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 75

1. #10664 Famine in Llaness.

   • 29% of what was needed was eaten; 230,299 rations were missing

2. #10663 Harvest in Llaness: 29% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	819,630
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	87,440

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	50,220
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6801

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10671 Season in Llaness: 14 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,393,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10664	×0.29
  Result	145,631

Why? Brendliasa founds House Ziandmond era 75

1. #10675 Brendliasa founds House Ziandmond.

2. #10674 Brendliasa, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Zailira had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Skangaund decides to hold a feast in Zailira era 75

1. #10680 Skangaund decides: feast.

   Motive of Skangaund

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5587 · 23.38%
   wait	weight 4950
   raise houses	weight 13,356
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.11
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #8695	×0.82

2. #8695 Bruetaun dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 75

1. #10686 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	733,320
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	33,528

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	44,820
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	2601

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 75

1. #10687 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 251,286 rations were missing

2. #10686 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	733,320
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	33,528

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	44,820
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	2601

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10693 Season in Llaness: 5 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,246,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10687	×0.13
  Result	56,406

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 75

1. #10688 Harvest in Stianess: 97% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	975,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	173,001

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	24,570
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	7293

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 75

1. #10707 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	610,470
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	111,645

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	37,260
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	8650

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 75

1. #10708 Famine in Llaness.

   • 50% of what was needed was eaten; 116,225 rations were missing

2. #10707 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	610,470
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	111,645

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	37,260
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	8650

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10715 Season in Llaness: 19 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,038,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10708	×0.51
  Result	190,053

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 75

1. #10709 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	987,210
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	700,045

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	24,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	29,495

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zaulchath, of House Lluigath, dies era 75

1. #10718 Zaulchath dies (accident, 54 years old).

   Chance that season: 3.70%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Thailchais decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 75

1. #10724 Thailchais decides: feast.

   Motive of Thailchais

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 4370 · 49.95%
   wait	weight 4377
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.02
   the emotion: sadness	×0.86
   the memory: spouse_died from age #10647	×0.82

2. #10647 Labraimuin dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 76

1. #10734 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	594,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	90,541

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	36,450
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7052

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 76

1. #10735 Famine in Llaness.

   • 42% of what was needed was eaten; 131,907 rations were missing

2. #10734 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	594,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	90,541

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	36,450
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7052

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10742 Season in Llaness: 16 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,009,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10735	×0.43
  Result	154,526

• #10745 Melchau dies (hunger, 55 years old).

  Chance that season: 6.75%

Why? Melchau, head of Llaness, dies era 76

1. #10745 Melchau dies (hunger, 55 years old).

   Chance that season: 6.75%

2. #10735 Famine in Llaness.

   • 42% of what was needed was eaten; 131,907 rations were missing

3. #10734 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	594,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	90,541

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	36,450
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7052

4. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Lluigath dies out era 76

1. #10748 House Lluigath dies out.

2. #10745 Melchau dies (hunger, 55 years old).

   Chance that season: 6.75%

3. #10735 Famine in Llaness.

   • 42% of what was needed was eaten; 131,907 rations were missing

4. #10734 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	594,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	90,541

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	36,450
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7052

5. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Thailchais decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 76

1. #10752 Thailchais decides: feast.

   Motive of Thailchais

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5549 · 58.98%
   wait	weight 3859
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.16
   the emotion: sadness	×0.95
   the memory: spouse_died from age #10647	×0.82

2. #10647 Labraimuin dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 76

1. #10760 Harvest in Llaness: 29% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	559,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	59,682

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,290
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4644

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 76

1. #10761 Famine in Llaness.

   • 29% of what was needed was eaten; 150,864 rations were missing

2. #10760 Harvest in Llaness: 29% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	559,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	59,682

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,290
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4644

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10768 Season in Llaness: 17 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	951,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10761	×0.30
  Result	170,552

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 76

1. #10783 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	500,850
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	22,899

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	30,780
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1786

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 76

1. #10784 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 167,825 rations were missing

2. #10783 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	500,850
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	22,899

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	30,780
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1786

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10791 Season in Llaness: 7 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	852,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10784	×0.13
  Result	65,535

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 76

1. #10803 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	564,480
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	103,234

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	8024

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 76

1. #10804 Famine in Llaness.

   • 50% of what was needed was eaten; 108,252 rations were missing

2. #10803 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	564,480
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	103,234

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	8024

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10810 Season in Llaness: 29 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	960,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10804	×0.51
  Result	291,916

Why? Skangaund decides to hold a feast in Zailira era 76

1. #10815 Skangaund decides: feast.

   Motive of Skangaund

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5392 · 53.05%
   wait	weight 4771
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.05
   the emotion: sadness	×1.02
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #8695	×0.82

2. #8695 Bruetaun dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 76

1. #10830 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	561,960
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	85,645

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,290
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6634

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 76

1. #10831 Famine in Llaness.

   • 42% of what was needed was eaten; 127,231 rations were missing

2. #10830 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	561,960
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	85,645

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,290
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6634

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10837 Season in Llaness: 24 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	955,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10831	×0.42
  Result	240,957

Why? Chuenzias, of House Sonthui, dies era 76

1. #10840 Chuenzias dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Sonthui dies out era 76

1. #10841 House Sonthui dies out.

2. #10840 Chuenzias dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 76

1. #10861 Harvest in Llaness: 29% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	559,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	59,682

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,290
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4644

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 76

1. #10862 Famine in Llaness.

   • 29% of what was needed was eaten; 155,184 rations were missing

2. #10861 Harvest in Llaness: 29% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	559,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	59,682

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,290
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4644

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10867 Season in Llaness: 16 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	951,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10862	×0.29
  Result	167,185

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 76

1. #10884 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	500,850
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	22,899

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	30,780
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1786

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 76

1. #10885 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 171,065 rations were missing

2. #10884 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	500,850
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	22,899

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	30,780
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1786

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10891 Season in Llaness: 6 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	852,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10885	×0.13
  Result	64,462

Why? Mathmuirk founds House Brarkdaith era 76

1. #10895 Mathmuirk founds House Brarkdaith.

2. #10894 Mathmuirk, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mathmuirk, at the head of Llaness era 76

1. #10899 Mathmuirk is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #10745 Melchau dies (hunger, 55 years old).

   Chance that season: 6.75%

3. #10735 Famine in Llaness.

   • 42% of what was needed was eaten; 131,907 rations were missing

4. #10734 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	594,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	90,541

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	36,450
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7052

5. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 77

1. #10907 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	417,060
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	76,274

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	25,380
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	5892

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 77

1. #10908 Famine in Llaness.

   • 50% of what was needed was eaten; 79,294 rations were missing

2. #10907 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	417,060
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	76,274

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	25,380
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	5892

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10914 Season in Llaness: 21 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	708,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10908	×0.51
  Result	216,138

Why? Skangaund decides to hold a feast in Zailira era 77

1. #10920 Skangaund decides: feast.

   Motive of Skangaund

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5559 · 54.12%
   wait	weight 4712
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.07
   the emotion: sadness	×1.03
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #8695	×0.82

2. #8695 Bruetaun dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 77

1. #10928 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	406,350
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	61,929

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	24,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4806

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 77

1. #10929 Famine in Llaness.

   • 42% of what was needed was eaten; 90,945 rations were missing

2. #10928 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	406,350
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	61,929

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	24,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4806

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10935 Season in Llaness: 17 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	690,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10929	×0.42
  Result	175,204

Why? Skangaund decides to hold a feast in Zailira era 77

1. #10940 Skangaund decides: feast.

   Motive of Skangaund

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 6415 · 26.45%
   wait	weight 4474
   raise houses	weight 13,356
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.20
   the emotion: sadness	×1.06
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #8695	×0.82

2. #8695 Bruetaun dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 77

1. #10955 Harvest in Llaness: 29% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	553,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	59,077

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4607

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 77

1. #10956 Famine in Llaness.

   • 29% of what was needed was eaten; 155,826 rations were missing

2. #10955 Harvest in Llaness: 29% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	553,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	59,077

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4607

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10961 Season in Llaness: 16 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	942,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10956	×0.29
  Result	163,964

Why? Lleso, of House Tathe, dies era 77

1. #10964 Lleso dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Tathe dies out era 77

1. #10965 House Tathe dies out.

2. #10964 Lleso dies (age, 63 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 77

1. #10979 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	553,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,319

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1974

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 77

1. #10980 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 192,217 rations were missing

2. #10979 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	553,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,319

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1974

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #10986 Season in Llaness: 7 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	942,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #10980	×0.12
  Result	70,254

Why? Thailchais, head of Stianess, dies era 77

1. #10989 Thailchais dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Sauchia, at the head of Stianess era 77

1. #10991 Sauchia is set at the head of Stianess.

2. #10989 Thailchais dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 77

1. #11006 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	554,400
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	101,391

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7898

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 77

1. #11007 Famine in Llaness.

   • 49% of what was needed was eaten; 110,221 rations were missing

2. #11006 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	554,400
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	101,391

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	34,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7898

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11013 Season in Llaness: 28 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	942,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11007	×0.50
  Result	281,356

Why? Skangaund decides to hold a feast in Zailira era 77

1. #11016 Skangaund decides: feast.

   Motive of Skangaund

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 6062 · 56.57%
   wait	weight 4653
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.16
   the emotion: sadness	×1.04
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #8695	×0.82

2. #8695 Bruetaun dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 77

1. #11028 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	552,510
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	84,204

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 77

1. #11029 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 128,777 rations were missing

2. #11028 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	552,510
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	84,204

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11035 Season in Llaness: 23 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	939,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11029	×0.41
  Result	232,853

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 77

1. #11045 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	519,120
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	55,381

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	31,860
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4314

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 77

1. #11046 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 146,585 rations were missing

2. #11045 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	519,120
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	55,381

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	31,860
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4314

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11052 Season in Llaness: 16 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	882,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11046	×0.29
  Result	153,097

Why? Sauchia and Zerkto marry era 77

1. #11056 Sauchia and Zerkto marry (commoner).

   Chance that season: 12.00%

2. #11055 Zerkto, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle by marrying Sauchia.

   Chance that season: 12.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 78

1. #11073 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,250
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,203

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1958

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 78

1. #11074 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 192,349 rations were missing

2. #11073 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,250
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,203

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1958

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11080 Season in Llaness: 7 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	937,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11074	×0.12
  Result	69,581

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 78

1. #11095 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	459,270
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	83,993

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	28,080
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6519

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 78

1. #11096 Famine in Llaness.

   • 50% of what was needed was eaten; 90,253 rations were missing

2. #11095 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	459,270
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	83,993

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	28,080
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6519

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11102 Season in Llaness: 24 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	780,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11096	×0.50
  Result	234,327

Why? Lloththue, of House Thuendguil, dies era 78

1. #11105 Lloththue dies (accident, 60 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 78

1. #11115 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	84,108

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 78

1. #11116 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 128,873 rations were missing

2. #11115 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	84,108

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11121 Season in Llaness: 23 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	937,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11116	×0.41
  Result	232,256

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 78

1. #11137 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	518,490
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	55,314

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	31,860
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4314

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 78

1. #11138 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 146,382 rations were missing

2. #11137 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	518,490
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	55,314

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	31,860
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4314

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11144 Season in Llaness: 15 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	882,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11138	×0.29
  Result	153,150

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 78

1. #11158 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,232

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1958

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 78

1. #11159 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 192,320 rations were missing

2. #11158 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,232

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1958

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11165 Season in Llaness: 7 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	937,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11159	×0.12
  Result	69,637

• #11169 Mathmuirk dies (hunger, 12 years old).

  Chance that season: 17.81%

Why? Rasstemui, of House Stuiszal, dies era 78

1. #11168 Rasstemui dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mathmuirk, head of Llaness, dies era 78

1. #11169 Mathmuirk dies (hunger, 12 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.81%

2. #11159 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 192,320 rations were missing

3. #11158 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,232

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1958

4. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Stuiszal dies out era 78

1. #11170 House Stuiszal dies out.

2. #11168 Rasstemui dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Brarkdaith dies out era 78

1. #11171 House Brarkdaith dies out.

2. #11169 Mathmuirk dies (hunger, 12 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.81%

3. #11159 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 192,320 rations were missing

4. #11158 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,232

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1958

5. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 78

1. #11177 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	459,900
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	84,108

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	28,080
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6519

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 78

1. #11178 Famine in Llaness.

   • 50% of what was needed was eaten; 90,273 rations were missing

2. #11177 Harvest in Llaness: 50% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	459,900
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	84,108

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	28,080
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6519

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11184 Season in Llaness: 24 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	781,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11178	×0.50
  Result	234,872

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 78

1. #11201 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,250
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	84,012

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 78

1. #11202 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 128,969 rations were missing

2. #11201 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,250
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	84,012

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11208 Season in Llaness: 23 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	937,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11202	×0.41
  Result	231,975

Why? Skangaund decides to hold a feast in Zailira era 78

1. #11213 Skangaund decides: feast.

   Motive of Skangaund

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5227 · 52.28%
   wait	weight 4771
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.02
   the emotion: sadness	×1.02
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #8695	×0.82

2. #8695 Bruetaun dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 79

1. #11221 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	518,490
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	55,314

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	31,860
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4314

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 79

1. #11222 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 146,382 rations were missing

2. #11221 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	518,490
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	55,314

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	31,860
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4314

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11228 Season in Llaness: 15 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	882,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11222	×0.29
  Result	153,150

Why? Dastand founds House Dandbraund era 79

1. #11232 Dastand founds House Dandbraund.

2. #11231 Dastand, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Dastand, at the head of Llaness era 79

1. #11236 Dastand is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #11169 Mathmuirk dies (hunger, 12 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.81%

3. #11159 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 192,320 rations were missing

4. #11158 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,232

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1958

5. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 79

1. #11244 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	462,420
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	21,142

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	28,350
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1645

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 79

1. #11245 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 160,273 rations were missing

2. #11244 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	462,420
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	21,142

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	28,350
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1645

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11251 Season in Llaness: 6 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	786,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11245	×0.12
  Result	58,667

Why? Mandeth founds House Skonluith era 79

1. #11255 Mandeth founds House Skonluith.

2. #11254 Mandeth, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 79

1. #11279 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	550,620
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	100,700

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7835

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 79

1. #11280 Famine in Llaness.

   • 49% of what was needed was eaten; 110,975 rations were missing

2. #11279 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	550,620
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	100,700

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7835

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11285 Season in Llaness: 27 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	936,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11280	×0.49
  Result	277,655

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 79

1. #11294 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	534,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	81,516

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	32,670
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6320

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 79

1. #11295 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 125,329 rations were missing

2. #11294 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	534,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	81,516

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	32,670
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6320

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11301 Season in Llaness: 22 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	909,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11295	×0.41
  Result	224,704

• #11304 Mandeth dies (hunger, 37 years old).

  Chance that season: 7.24%

Why? Mandeth, of House Skonluith, dies of hunger era 79

1. #11304 Mandeth dies (hunger, 37 years old).

   Chance that season: 7.24%

2. #11295 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 125,329 rations were missing

3. #11294 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	534,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	81,516

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	32,670
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6320

4. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Skonluith dies out era 79

1. #11305 House Skonluith dies out.

2. #11304 Mandeth dies (hunger, 37 years old).

   Chance that season: 7.24%

3. #11295 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 125,329 rations were missing

4. #11294 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	534,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	81,516

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	32,670
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6320

5. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Sauchia decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 79

1. #11306 Sauchia decides: feast.

   Motive of Sauchia

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5252 · 59.33%
   wait	weight 3600
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: proud	×1.20

Root: A decision by Sauchia, with its motives.

Why? Skangaund decides to hold a feast in Zailira era 79

1. #11309 Skangaund decides: feast.

   Motive of Skangaund

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5517 · 53.93%
   wait	weight 4712
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.06
   the emotion: sadness	×1.03
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #8695	×0.82

2. #8695 Bruetaun dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 79

1. #11319 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	502,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	53,633

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	30,780
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4168

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 79

1. #11320 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 142,134 rations were missing

2. #11319 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	502,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	53,633

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	30,780
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	4168

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11326 Season in Llaness: 15 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	855,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11320	×0.29
  Result	148,257

Why? Dastand and Zagauslau marry era 79

1. #11330 Dastand and Zagauslau marry (commoner).

   Chance that season: 12.00%

2. #11329 Zagauslau, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle by marrying Dastand.

   Chance that season: 12.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Skangaund decides to hold a feast in Zailira era 79

1. #11337 Skangaund decides: feast.

   Motive of Skangaund

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 6373 · 58.75%
   wait	weight 4474
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: generous	×1.40
   the emotion: joy	×1.19
   the emotion: sadness	×1.06
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #8695	×0.82

2. #8695 Bruetaun dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 79

1. #11352 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	549,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,117

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1958

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 79

1. #11353 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 192,435 rations were missing

2. #11352 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	549,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	25,117

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	1958

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11359 Season in Llaness: 7 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	934,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11353	×0.12
  Result	69,134

Why? A new species is born from the Talmirthor: the Krouthviathkrou era 79

1. #11368 Event: speciation.

2. #1433 Event: trait_evolved.

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 79

1. #11372 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,250
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	100,815

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7835

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 79

1. #11373 Famine in Llaness.

   • 49% of what was needed was eaten; 110,860 rations were missing

2. #11372 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	551,250
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	100,815

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	7835

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11378 Season in Llaness: 28 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	937,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11373	×0.49
  Result	278,381

Why? Suethrue, of House Lolskond, dies era 79

1. #11381 Suethrue dies (age, 66 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.80%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Zerkto, of House Miandthe, dies era 79

1. #11382 Zerkto dies (accident, 12 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 80

1. #11397 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	549,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	83,724

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

2. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 80

1. #11398 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 129,257 rations were missing

2. #11397 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	549,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	83,724

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

3. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #11404 Season in Llaness: 23 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	934,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #11398	×0.41
  Result	230,503

• #11407 Dastand dies (hunger, 8 years old).

  Chance that season: 7.27%

Why? Dastand, head of Llaness, dies era 80

1. #11407 Dastand dies (hunger, 8 years old).

   Chance that season: 7.27%

2. #11398 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 129,257 rations were missing

3. #11397 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	549,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	83,724

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

4. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Zagauslau, at the head of Llaness era 80

1. #11409 Zagauslau is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #11407 Dastand dies (hunger, 8 years old).

   Chance that season: 7.27%

3. #11398 Famine in Llaness.

   • 41% of what was needed was eaten; 129,257 rations were missing

4. #11397 Harvest in Llaness: 41% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	549,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	83,724

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	33,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the weather: long_drought #10521	×0.20
   Result	6529

5. #10521 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Sauchia decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 80

1. #11412 Sauchia decides: feast.

   Motive of Sauchia

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 3011 · 13.39%
   wait	weight 4896
   raise houses	weight 14,570
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: proud	×1.20
   the emotion: joy	×0.92
   the emotion: sadness	×0.76
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #11382	×0.82

2. #11382 Zerkto dies (accident, 12 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%