Chapter 7 · The end of House Gogai

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 145

1. #21853 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,491,210
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,059,505

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	37,530
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	44,464

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The drought leaves Llaness short of grain era 145

1. #21854 Harvest in Llaness: 96% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,851,570
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	487,249

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	113,400
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	37,884

2. #21846 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 145

1. #21855 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,887,920
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,023,812

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	72,630
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	86,049

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The drought leaves Llaness short of grain era 145

1. #21875 Harvest in Llaness: 56% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,872,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	410,600

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	114,480
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	31,871

2. #21846 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 145

1. #21876 Famine in Llaness.

   • 56% of what was needed was eaten; 331,505 rations were missing

2. #21875 Harvest in Llaness: 56% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,872,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	410,600

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	114,480
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	31,871

3. #21846 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #21883 Season in Llaness: 65 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	3,183,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #21876	×0.57
  Result	649,599

Why? Sailath is born, son of Duirklath era 145

1. #21886 Sailath is born, to Gaundllond and Duirklath.

   Chance that season: 5.40%

   The chance of a birth

   Ruleset base	1500
   breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
   overcrowding	×0.60
   Result	540

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought leaves Llaness short of grain era 145

1. #21895 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,871,100
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	287,226

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	114,480
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	22,309

2. #21846 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 145

1. #21896 Famine in Llaness.

   • 40% of what was needed was eaten; 450,032 rations were missing

2. #21895 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,871,100
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	287,226

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	114,480
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	22,309

3. #21846 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #21903 Season in Llaness: 47 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	3,181,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #21896	×0.41
  Result	466,611

• #21906 Luethaima dies (hunger, 5 years old).

  Chance that season: 7.41%

Why? Luethaima, of House Miarktiand, dies of hunger era 145

1. #21906 Luethaima dies (hunger, 5 years old).

   Chance that season: 7.41%

2. #21896 Famine in Llaness.

   • 40% of what was needed was eaten; 450,032 rations were missing

3. #21895 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,871,100
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	287,226

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	114,480
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	22,309

4. #21846 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Marriage arranged between Rueszui and Gialtes era 145

1. #21911 Rueszui and Gialtes marry (political).

2. #21909 Duirklath decides: arrange_marriage.

   Motive of Duirklath

   arrange a marriage (chosen)	weight 2279 · 29.09%
   wait	weight 5555
   the people's value: community	×1.21
   the people's value: honor	×1.04
   the trait: fickle	×0.90

Root: A decision by Duirklath, with its motives.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 145

1. #21918 Harvest in Mueness: 96% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,546,650
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	274,723

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	38,880
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	11,515

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The drought leaves Llaness short of grain era 145

1. #21919 Harvest in Llaness: 17% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,758,330
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	115,678

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	107,730
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	8997

2. #21846 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 145

1. #21920 Famine in Llaness.

   • 17% of what was needed was eaten; 582,320 rations were missing

2. #21919 Harvest in Llaness: 17% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,758,330
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	115,678

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	107,730
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the drought #21846	×0.30
   Result	8997

3. #21846 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #21927 Season in Llaness: 19 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,989,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #21920	×0.18
  Result	189,737

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 145

1. #21921 Harvest in Stianess: 96% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,995,650
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.30
   Result	524,827

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	75,330
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	22,311

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 145

1. #21943 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,565,550
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,112,324

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	39,420
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	46,703

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Llaness eats its fill again era 145

1. #21944 Harvest in Llaness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,500,030
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,315,800

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	91,800
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   Result	102,228

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 145

1. #21945 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,032,820
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,125,356

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	76,140
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	90,207

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Tanlle, of House Gogai, dies era 145

1. #21968 Tanlle dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 146

1. #22006 Harvest in Mueness: 93% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,624,140
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	288,488

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	40,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	12,075

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 146

1. #22008 Harvest in Stianess: 94% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,146,220
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.30
   Result	551,206

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	79,110
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	23,431

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Zailira era 146

1. #22009 Harvest in Zailira: 99% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,285,640
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	403,685

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	57,510
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	17,033

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Daundme, head of Stianess, dies era 146

1. #22017 Daundme dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Gogai dies out era 146

1. #22018 House Gogai dies out.

2. #22017 Daundme dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Tharauth, at the head of Stianess era 146

1. #22020 Tharauth is set at the head of Stianess.

2. #22017 Daundme dies (age, 65 years old).

   Chance that season: 11.20%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? A new species is born from the Taelphaltur: the Vhuthgliskraesk era 146

1. #22026 Event: speciation.

2. #7820 Event: trait_evolved.

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 146

1. #22032 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,644,300
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,168,276

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	41,310
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	48,942

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 146

1. #22034 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,185,280
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,232,198

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	80,190
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	95,005

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zailira eats its fill again era 146

1. #22035 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,313,990
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,634,770

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	58,050
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	68,775

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 146

1. #22097 Harvest in Mueness: 92% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,705,410
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	302,923

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	42,930
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	12,715

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 146

1. #22099 Harvest in Stianess: 92% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,304,980
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.30
   Result	579,020

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	83,160
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	24,631

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Zailira era 146

1. #22100 Harvest in Zailira: 97% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,400,930
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	424,047

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	60,480
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	17,913

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 146

1. #22117 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,726,200
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,226,466

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	43,470
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	51,501

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 146

1. #22119 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,345,930
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,344,779

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	84,240
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	99,804

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zailira eats its fill again era 146

1. #22120 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,430,540
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,717,109

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	61,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	72,294

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zerkchaund founds House Cholbria era 146

1. #22129 Zerkchaund founds House Cholbria.

2. #22128 Zerkchaund, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Stianess had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather strikes the fields of Llaness era 147

1. #22155 Harvest in Llaness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,660,050
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	169,886

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	101,520
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	13,189

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 147

1. #22175 Harvest in Mueness: 90% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,790,460
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	318,030

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	45,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	13,355

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 147

1. #22176 Harvest in Llaness: 20% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,678,950
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	73,637

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	102,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	5727

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 147

1. #22177 Famine in Llaness.

   • 20% of what was needed was eaten; 543,876 rations were missing

2. #22176 Harvest in Llaness: 20% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,678,950
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	73,637

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	102,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	5727

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22183 Season in Llaness: 21 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,854,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22177	×0.21
  Result	213,539

• #22186 Sauschaund dies (hunger, 11 years old).

  Chance that season: 14.73%

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 147

1. #22178 Harvest in Stianess: 90% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,469,410
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.30
   Result	607,828

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	87,210
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	25,830

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Zailira era 147

1. #22179 Harvest in Zailira: 95% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,522,520
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	445,522

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	63,450
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	18,793

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Sauschaund, of House Brondluith, dies of hunger era 147

1. #22186 Sauschaund dies (hunger, 11 years old).

   Chance that season: 14.73%

2. #22177 Famine in Llaness.

   • 20% of what was needed was eaten; 543,876 rations were missing

3. #22176 Harvest in Llaness: 20% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,678,950
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	73,637

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	102,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	5727

4. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Chelllend founds House Mesdairk era 147

1. #22188 Chelllend founds House Mesdairk.

2. #22187 Chelllend, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Stianess had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 147

1. #22201 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,813,140
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,288,237

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	45,630
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	54,060

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 147

1. #22202 Harvest in Llaness: 46% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,454,040
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	255,091

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	89,100
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	19,844

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 147

1. #22203 Famine in Llaness.

   • 46% of what was needed was eaten; 311,100 rations were missing

2. #22202 Harvest in Llaness: 46% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,454,040
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	255,091

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	89,100
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	19,844

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22209 Season in Llaness: 41 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,472,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22203	×0.47
  Result	417,461

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 147

1. #22204 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,512,250
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,461,334

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	88,290
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	104,602

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zailira eats its fill again era 147

1. #22205 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,553,390
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,803,899

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	64,260
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	76,132

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 147

1. #22227 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,398,600
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	204,471

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	85,590
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	15,885

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 147

1. #22228 Famine in Llaness.

   • 39% of what was needed was eaten; 339,084 rations were missing

2. #22227 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,398,600
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	204,471

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	85,590
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	15,885

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22235 Season in Llaness: 34 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,377,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22228	×0.39
  Result	337,053

• #22238 Rasda dies (hunger, 54 years old).

  Chance that season: 7.91%

Why? Rasda, head of Llaness, dies era 147

1. #22238 Rasda dies (hunger, 54 years old).

   Chance that season: 7.91%

2. #22228 Famine in Llaness.

   • 39% of what was needed was eaten; 339,084 rations were missing

3. #22227 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,398,600
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	204,471

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	85,590
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	15,885

4. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Braischues, at the head of Llaness era 147

1. #22240 Braischues is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #22238 Rasda dies (hunger, 54 years old).

   Chance that season: 7.91%

3. #22228 Famine in Llaness.

   • 39% of what was needed was eaten; 339,084 rations were missing

4. #22227 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,398,600
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	204,471

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	85,590
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	15,885

5. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 147

1. #22248 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,304,730
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	133,523

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	79,920
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,383

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 147

1. #22249 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 374,089 rations were missing

2. #22248 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,304,730
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	133,523

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	79,920
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,383

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22255 Season in Llaness: 22 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,218,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  overcrowding	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22249	×0.28
  Result	221,867

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 147

1. #22264 Harvest in Mueness: 88% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,880,550
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	334,032

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	47,250
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	13,994

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 147

1. #22265 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,161,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	50,924

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	71,010
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	3953

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 147

1. #22266 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 401,693 rations were missing

2. #22265 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,161,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	50,924

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	71,010
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	3953

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22271 Season in Llaness: 14 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,974,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22266	×0.12
  Result	142,246

• #22274 Gialtes dies (hunger, 8 years old).

  Chance that season: 17.94%

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 147

1. #22267 Harvest in Stianess: 89% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,640,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.30
   Result	637,849

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	91,530
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	27,110

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Zailira era 147

1. #22268 Harvest in Zailira: 94% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,649,150
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	467,887

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	66,690
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	19,752

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Gialtes, of House Toscha, dies of hunger era 147

1. #22274 Gialtes dies (hunger, 8 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.94%

2. #22266 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 401,693 rations were missing

3. #22265 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,161,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	50,924

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	71,010
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	3953

4. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Sailath and Dada marry era 147

1. #22277 Sailath and Dada marry (commoner).

   Chance that season: 12.00%

2. #22276 Dada, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle by marrying Sailath.

   Chance that season: 12.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 147

1. #22282 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,903,860
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,352,693

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	47,790
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	56,619

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 147

1. #22283 Harvest in Llaness: 48% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	965,160
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	169,324

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	59,130
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	13,169

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 147

1. #22284 Famine in Llaness.

   • 48% of what was needed was eaten; 193,077 rations were missing

2. #22283 Harvest in Llaness: 48% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	965,160
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	169,324

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	59,130
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	13,169

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22288 Season in Llaness: 48 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,641,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22284	×0.49
  Result	478,417

• #22291 Gatuerk dies (hunger, 50 years old).

  Chance that season: 4.53%

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 147

1. #22285 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,686,760
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,583,628

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	92,610
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	109,720

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zailira eats its fill again era 147

1. #22286 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,681,280
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,894,250

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	67,500
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	79,971

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Gatuerk, of House Brondluith, dies of hunger era 147

1. #22291 Gatuerk dies (hunger, 50 years old).

   Chance that season: 4.53%

2. #22284 Famine in Llaness.

   • 48% of what was needed was eaten; 193,077 rations were missing

3. #22283 Harvest in Llaness: 48% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	965,160
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	169,324

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	59,130
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	13,169

4. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Marriage arranged between Skaurau and Chelllend era 147

1. #22301 Skaurau and Chelllend marry (political).

2. #22299 Duirklath decides: arrange_marriage.

   Motive of Duirklath

   arrange a marriage (chosen)	weight 2279 · 21.21%
   wait	weight 4820
   send settlers out	weight 3642
   the people's value: community	×1.21
   the people's value: honor	×1.04
   the trait: fickle	×0.90

Root: A decision by Duirklath, with its motives.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 148

1. #22311 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	931,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	136,222

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	56,970
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,573

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 148

1. #22312 Famine in Llaness.

   • 40% of what was needed was eaten; 217,030 rations were missing

2. #22311 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	931,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	136,222

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	56,970
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,573

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22317 Season in Llaness: 39 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,584,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22312	×0.40
  Result	383,391

• #22320 Braischues dies (hunger, 55 years old).

  Chance that season: 7.55%

Why? Braischues, head of Llaness, dies era 148

1. #22320 Braischues dies (hunger, 55 years old).

   Chance that season: 7.55%

2. #22312 Famine in Llaness.

   • 40% of what was needed was eaten; 217,030 rations were missing

3. #22311 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	931,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	136,222

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	56,970
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,573

4. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Rueszui, at the head of Llaness era 148

1. #22322 Rueszui is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #22320 Braischues dies (hunger, 55 years old).

   Chance that season: 7.55%

3. #22312 Famine in Llaness.

   • 40% of what was needed was eaten; 217,030 rations were missing

4. #22311 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	931,770
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	136,222

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	56,970
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,573

5. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 148

1. #22336 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,284,570
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	131,460

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,570
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,207

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 148

1. #22337 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 368,633 rations were missing

2. #22336 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,284,570
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	131,460

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,570
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,207

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22342 Season in Llaness: 37 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,184,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22337	×0.28
  Result	363,767

Why? Llandgark founds House Taurkgue era 148

1. #22348 Llandgark founds House Taurkgue.

2. #22347 Llandgark, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Stianess had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 148

1. #22365 Harvest in Mueness: 86% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,973,790
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	350,594

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	49,680
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	14,714

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 148

1. #22366 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,285,200
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	56,367

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,570
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	4374

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 148

1. #22367 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 449,559 rations were missing

2. #22366 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,285,200
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	56,367

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,570
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	4374

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22373 Season in Llaness: 15 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,185,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22367	×0.12
  Result	156,044

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 148

1. #22368 Harvest in Stianess: 95% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,138,030
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.30
   Result	549,771

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	23,351

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Zailira era 148

1. #22369 Harvest in Zailira: 92% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,782,080
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	491,365

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	69,930
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	20,712

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zialdiand is born, son of Duirklath era 148

1. #22376 Zialdiand is born, to Gaundllond and Duirklath.

   Chance that season: 4.99%

   The chance of a birth

   Ruleset base	1500
   breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
   overcrowding	×0.60
   the hunger of the last harvest	×0.92
   Result	499

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 148

1. #22391 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,998,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,419,835

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	50,220
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	59,498

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 148

1. #22392 Harvest in Llaness: 47% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,289,610
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	226,244

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	17,559

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 148

1. #22393 Famine in Llaness.

   • 47% of what was needed was eaten; 266,497 rations were missing

2. #22392 Harvest in Llaness: 47% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,289,610
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	226,244

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	17,559

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22399 Season in Llaness: 63 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,193,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22393	×0.48
  Result	628,557

• #22402 Tezethlla dies (hunger, 14 years old).

  Chance that season: 4.83%

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 148

1. #22394 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,906,820
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,037,057

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	73,170
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	86,688

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zailira eats its fill again era 148

1. #22395 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,816,100
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,989,496

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	70,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	83,809

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Tezethlla, of House Brondluith, dies of hunger era 148

1. #22402 Tezethlla dies (hunger, 14 years old).

   Chance that season: 4.83%

2. #22393 Famine in Llaness.

   • 47% of what was needed was eaten; 266,497 rations were missing

3. #22392 Harvest in Llaness: 47% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,289,610
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	226,244

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	17,559

4. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Sailath, of House Luelchau, dies era 148

1. #22403 Sailath dies (accident, 5 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Rueszui and Tairkskon marry era 148

1. #22405 Rueszui and Tairkskon marry (commoner).

   Chance that season: 12.00%

2. #22404 Tairkskon, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle by marrying Rueszui.

   Chance that season: 12.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Garkrail is born, daughter of Duirklath era 148

1. #22406 Garkrail is born, to Gaundllond and Duirklath.

   Chance that season: 5.40%

   The chance of a birth

   Ruleset base	1500
   breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
   overcrowding	×0.60
   Result	540

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 148

1. #22422 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,286,460
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	188,076

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	14,632

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 148

1. #22423 Famine in Llaness.

   • 39% of what was needed was eaten; 307,592 rations were missing

2. #22422 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,286,460
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	188,076

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,840
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	14,632

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22430 Season in Llaness: 52 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,187,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22423	×0.40
  Result	521,205

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 148

1. #22447 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,201,410
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	122,949

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	73,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	9541

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 148

1. #22448 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 343,655 rations were missing

2. #22447 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,201,410
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	122,949

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	73,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	9541

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22454 Season in Llaness: 34 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,043,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22448	×0.28
  Result	341,017

• #22457 Chelllend dies (hunger, 49 years old).

  Chance that season: 12.14%

Why? Chelllend, of House Mesdairk, dies of hunger era 148

1. #22457 Chelllend dies (hunger, 49 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.14%

2. #22448 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 343,655 rations were missing

3. #22447 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,201,410
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	122,949

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	73,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	9541

4. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Mesdairk dies out era 148

1. #22458 House Mesdairk dies out.

2. #22457 Chelllend dies (hunger, 49 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.14%

3. #22448 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 343,655 rations were missing

4. #22447 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,201,410
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	122,949

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	73,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	9541

5. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 148

1. #22470 Harvest in Mueness: 85% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,071,440
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	367,939

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	52,110
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	15,434

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 148

1. #22471 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,069,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	46,917

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	65,610
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	3653

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 148

1. #22472 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 371,170 rations were missing

2. #22471 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,069,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	46,917

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	65,610
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	3653

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22478 Season in Llaness: 13 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,819,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22472	×0.12
  Result	130,894

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 148

1. #22473 Harvest in Stianess: 97% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,015,180
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.30
   Result	528,248

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	75,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	22,471

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Zailira era 148

1. #22474 Harvest in Zailira: 91% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,864,610
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	505,941

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	72,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	21,352

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Duirklath, ruler of the Methllerk, dies era 148

1. #22481 Duirklath dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 4 claimants to the seat of Duirklath era 148

1. #22482 The succession opens.

   • Gaundllond: 19 supporters (ties 153, own house 90, command 760, prestige 1216, kinship 380)
   • Tairkskon: 3 supporters (ties 262, own house 90, command 144, prestige 51)
   • Bruinllui: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 112, prestige 68)
   • Sandresgo: 2 supporters (ties 139, own house 30, command 112, prestige 68)

2. #22481 Duirklath dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Gaundllond succeeds Duirklath era 148

1. #22483 The succession is settled in favor of Gaundllond.

   • Gaundllond: 19 supporters (ties 153, own house 90, command 760, prestige 1216, kinship 380)
   • Tairkskon: 3 supporters (ties 262, own house 90, command 144, prestige 51)
   • Bruinllui: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 112, prestige 68)
   • Sandresgo: 2 supporters (ties 139, own house 30, command 112, prestige 68)
   • The leader's margin: 6153 ‱ of the total support

2. #22482 The succession opens.

   • Gaundllond: 19 supporters (ties 153, own house 90, command 760, prestige 1216, kinship 380)
   • Tairkskon: 3 supporters (ties 262, own house 90, command 144, prestige 51)
   • Bruinllui: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 112, prestige 68)
   • Sandresgo: 2 supporters (ties 139, own house 30, command 112, prestige 68)

3. #22481 Duirklath dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22484 The laws accept take_office as it was asked.

• #22485 Gaundllond is set at the head of Zailira.

• #22486 Gaundllond takes the seat of the Methllerk.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 149

1. #22495 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,097,270
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,490,111

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	52,650
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	62,377

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 149

1. #22496 Harvest in Llaness: 48% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	889,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	156,061

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	54,540
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	12,147

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 149

1. #22497 Famine in Llaness.

   • 48% of what was needed was eaten; 178,607 rations were missing

2. #22496 Harvest in Llaness: 48% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	889,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	156,061

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	54,540
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	12,147

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22503 Season in Llaness: 44 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,512,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22497	×0.48
  Result	439,992

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 149

1. #22498 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,051,720
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,138,601

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	76,680
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	90,847

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zailira eats its fill again era 149

1. #22499 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,899,260
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,048,247

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	72,900
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×1.20
   Result	86,369

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Chasuend founds House Lluisdiand era 149

1. #22509 Chasuend founds House Lluisdiand.

2. #22508 Chasuend, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 149

1. #22524 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	858,690
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	125,538

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	52,650
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	9771

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 149

1. #22525 Famine in Llaness.

   • 40% of what was needed was eaten; 200,571 rations were missing

2. #22524 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	858,690
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	125,538

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	52,650
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	9771

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22531 Season in Llaness: 35 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,459,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22525	×0.40
  Result	352,731

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 149

1. #22546 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	802,620
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	82,138

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	49,140
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	6384

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 149

1. #22547 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 225,623 rations were missing

2. #22546 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	802,620
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	82,138

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	49,140
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	6384

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22553 Season in Llaness: 23 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,365,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22547	×0.28
  Result	230,712

• #22556 Skaurau dies (hunger, 54 years old).

  Chance that season: 12.02%

Why? Skaurau, of House Brondluith, dies of hunger era 149

1. #22556 Skaurau dies (hunger, 54 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.02%

2. #22547 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 225,623 rations were missing

3. #22546 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	802,620
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	82,138

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	49,140
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	6384

4. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Gaundllond, ruler of the Methllerk, dies era 149

1. #22557 Gaundllond dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Brondluith dies out era 149

1. #22560 House Brondluith dies out.

2. #22556 Skaurau dies (hunger, 54 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.02%

3. #22547 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 225,623 rations were missing

4. #22546 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	802,620
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	82,138

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	49,140
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	6384

5. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 4 claimants to the seat of Gaundllond era 149

1. #22562 The succession opens.

   • Sandresgo: 17 supporters (ties 139, own house 30, command 952, prestige 527)
   • Bruinllui: 4 supporters (ties 244, own house 60, command 224, prestige 124)
   • Dada: 3 supporters (ties 237, own house 60, command 48, prestige 192)
   • Tairkskon: 3 supporters (ties 255, own house 90, command 144, prestige 48)

2. #22557 Gaundllond dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Sandresgo succeeds Gaundllond era 149

1. #22563 The succession is settled in favor of Sandresgo.

   • Sandresgo: 17 supporters (ties 139, own house 30, command 952, prestige 527)
   • Bruinllui: 4 supporters (ties 244, own house 60, command 224, prestige 124)
   • Dada: 3 supporters (ties 237, own house 60, command 48, prestige 192)
   • Tairkskon: 3 supporters (ties 255, own house 90, command 144, prestige 48)
   • The leader's margin: 4814 ‱ of the total support

2. #22562 The succession opens.

   • Sandresgo: 17 supporters (ties 139, own house 30, command 952, prestige 527)
   • Bruinllui: 4 supporters (ties 244, own house 60, command 224, prestige 124)
   • Dada: 3 supporters (ties 237, own house 60, command 48, prestige 192)
   • Tairkskon: 3 supporters (ties 255, own house 90, command 144, prestige 48)

3. #22557 Gaundllond dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22564 The laws accept take_office as it was asked.

• #22565 Sandresgo takes the seat of the Methllerk.

Why? Dada, at the head of Zailira era 149

1. #22567 Dada is set at the head of Zailira.

2. #22557 Gaundllond dies (age, 64 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.60%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Sandresgo and Mauthsan, friends era 149

1. #22568 Sandresgo and Mauthsan: from none to friend.

   • Regard between the two: 63

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 149

1. #22576 Harvest in Mueness: 84% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,174,130
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	386,180

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	54,540
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	16,154

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 149

1. #22577 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	714,420
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	31,333

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	43,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	2435

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 149

1. #22578 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 244,602 rations were missing

2. #22577 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	714,420
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	31,333

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	43,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	2435

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22584 Season in Llaness: 9 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,215,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22578	×0.12
  Result	88,427

• #22587 Tairkskon dies (hunger, 14 years old).

  Chance that season: 17.90%

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 149

1. #22579 Harvest in Stianess: 95% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,163,230
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.30
   Result	554,186

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	79,650
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	23,591

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Zailira era 149

1. #22580 Harvest in Zailira: 90% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,006,360
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	530,977

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	75,600
   the weather: cycle	×0.99
   the season	×0.30
   Result	22,391

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Tairkskon, of House Miarktiand, dies of hunger era 149

1. #22587 Tairkskon dies (hunger, 14 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.90%

2. #22578 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 244,602 rations were missing

3. #22577 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	714,420
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	31,333

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	43,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	2435

4. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 149

1. #22603 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,200,590
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,538,023

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	55,350
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   Result	64,507

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 149

1. #22604 Harvest in Llaness: 48% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,277,640
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	228,540

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,300
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	17,780

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 149

1. #22605 Famine in Llaness.

   • 48% of what was needed was eaten; 264,471 rations were missing

2. #22604 Harvest in Llaness: 48% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,277,640
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	228,540

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,300
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	17,780

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22611 Season in Llaness: 63 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,172,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22605	×0.48
  Result	627,751

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 149

1. #22606 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,202,920
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	2,207,957

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	80,460
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   Result	93,771

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Zailira eats its fill again era 149

1. #22607 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,210,670
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,536,309

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	55,620
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   Result	64,821

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Lluislian founds House Thuilzairk era 149

1. #22615 Lluislian founds House Thuilzairk.

2. #22614 Lluislian, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 149

1. #22626 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,275,120
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	190,074

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,030
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	14,766

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 149

1. #22627 Famine in Llaness.

   • 40% of what was needed was eaten; 305,460 rations were missing

2. #22626 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,275,120
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	190,074

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,030
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	14,766

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22632 Season in Llaness: 53 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,167,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22627	×0.40
  Result	522,020

Why? Stuichan founds House Stuerkllal era 149

1. #22636 Stuichan founds House Stuerkllal.

2. #22635 Stuichan, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Skuelgaun founds House Rausthon era 149

1. #22638 Skuelgaun founds House Rausthon.

2. #22637 Skuelgaun, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Zailira had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 149

1. #22656 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,275,120
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	133,052

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,030
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,336

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 149

1. #22657 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 366,912 rations were missing

2. #22656 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,275,120
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	133,052

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,030
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	10,336

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22663 Season in Llaness: 37 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,167,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22657	×0.28
  Result	365,310

Why? Marriage arranged between Lluislian and Stuichan era 149

1. #22670 Lluislian and Stuichan marry (political).

2. #22668 Sandresgo decides: arrange_marriage.

   Motive of Sandresgo

   arrange a marriage (chosen)	weight 2532 · 21.59%
   wait	weight 5187
   send settlers out	weight 4006
   the people's value: community	×1.21
   the people's value: honor	×1.04

Root: A decision by Sandresgo, with its motives.

Why? An ill omen over Sandresgo, sent by Maraval era 150

1. #22673 Maraval acts: “May the sky tell Sandresgo that their time is running out”.

   • What the world did: sign ominous

2. #22671 Order community-0014 (send_omen) is applied, asked for by Maraval.

Root: An order from the community: Maraval asked for it, and it passed through the laws.

Evidence

• #22672 The laws accept send_omen as it was asked.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 150

1. #22674 Harvest in Mueness: 81% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,279,970
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	398,375

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	57,240
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   Result	16,677

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 150

1. #22675 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,136,520
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	50,824

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	69,660
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	3954

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 150

1. #22676 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 397,472 rations were missing

2. #22675 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,136,520
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	50,824

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	69,660
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	3954

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22681 Season in Llaness: 14 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,932,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22676	×0.12
  Result	140,379

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 150

1. #22677 Harvest in Stianess: 94% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	3,169,530
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.30
   Result	546,235

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	79,650
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   Result	23,206

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 150

1. #22696 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,307,690
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,612,877

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	58,050
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   Result	67,653

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 150

1. #22697 Harvest in Llaness: 47% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,280,160
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	228,991

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,300
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	17,780

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 150

1. #22698 Famine in Llaness.

   • 47% of what was needed was eaten; 265,574 rations were missing

2. #22697 Harvest in Llaness: 47% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,280,160
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	228,991

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	78,300
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	17,780

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22704 Season in Llaness: 62 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,176,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22698	×0.48
  Result	626,179

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 150

1. #22699 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,799,720
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×1.20
   Result	1,930,008

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	70,470
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×1.20
   Result	82,128

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Dada and Gathstuind marry era 150

1. #22708 Dada and Gathstuind marry (commoner).

   Chance that season: 12.00%

2. #22707 Gathstuind, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle by marrying Dada.

   Chance that season: 12.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought leaves Mueness short of grain era 150

1. #22724 Harvest in Mueness: 81% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,334,150
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the drought #22717	×0.30
   Result	407,842

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	58,590
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the drought #22717	×0.30
   Result	17,070

2. #22717 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 150

1. #22725 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,234,800
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	184,064

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	75,600
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	14,306

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 150

1. #22726 Famine in Llaness.

   • 40% of what was needed was eaten; 293,975 rations were missing

2. #22725 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,234,800
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	184,064

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	75,600
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	14,306

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22732 Season in Llaness: 51 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	2,100,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22726	×0.40
  Result	507,654

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Stianess era 150

1. #22727 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,833,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.59
   the drought #22717	×0.30
   Result	488,365

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	71,280
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the drought #22717	×0.30
   Result	20,768

2. #22717 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Zailira era 150

1. #22728 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,346,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the drought #22717	×0.30
   Result	407,719

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	58,860
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the drought #22717	×0.30
   Result	17,149

2. #22717 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Tharauth decides to ration the grain in Stianess era 150

1. #22737 Tharauth decides: ration.

   Motive of Tharauth

   ration the grain (chosen)	weight 9855 · 68.02%
   wait	weight 4632
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the emotion: fear	×1.12
   the memory: child_died from hunger #22274	×1.76

2. #22274 Gialtes dies (hunger, 8 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.94%

3. #22266 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 401,693 rations were missing

4. #22265 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,161,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	50,924

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	71,010
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	3953

5. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Dada decides to ration the grain in Zailira era 150

1. #22740 Dada decides: ration.

   Motive of Dada

   ration the grain (chosen)	weight 5490 · 57.64%
   wait	weight 4034
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the trait: cautious	×1.30
   the trait: generous	×0.80
   the emotion: fear	×1.12

2. #22728 Harvest in Zailira: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,346,750
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the drought #22717	×0.30
   Result	407,719

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	58,860
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the drought #22717	×0.30
   Result	17,149

3. #22717 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 150

1. #22745 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,361,240
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.70
   Result	962,677

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	59,400
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   Result	40,382

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 150

1. #22746 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,156,680
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	120,693

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	70,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	9370

2. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 150

1. #22747 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 330,017 rations were missing

2. #22746 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	1,156,680
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	120,693

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	70,740
   the weather: cycle	×0.95
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #22151	×0.20
   Result	9370

3. #22151 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #22753 Season in Llaness: 33 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	1,966,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #22747	×0.28
  Result	333,439

Why? The harvest falls short in Stianess era 150

1. #22748 Harvest in Stianess: 90% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,869,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.59
   the season	×0.70
   Result	1,153,705

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	72,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   Result	49,009

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Zailira era 150

1. #22749 Harvest in Zailira: 90% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,375,730
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.70
   Result	963,093

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	59,670
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.70
   Result	40,566

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 150

1. #22772 Harvest in Mueness: 72% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	2,388,330
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the soil	×0.60
   the season	×0.30
   Result	417,309

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	59,940
   the weather: cycle	×0.97
   the season	×0.30
   Result	17,464

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.