Chapter 2 · The end of House Londia

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 25

1. #2934 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	173,250
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.72
   the season	×1.20
   Result	139,429

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	12,420
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   Result	13,884

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 25

1. #2935 Harvest in Llaness: 44% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	32,130
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	6105

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	2160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	521

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 25

1. #2936 Famine in Llaness.

   • 44% of what was needed was eaten; 8224 rations were missing

2. #2935 Harvest in Llaness: 44% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	32,130
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	6105

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	2160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	521

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #2941 Season in Llaness: 2 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	63,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #2936	×0.45
  Result	16,862

Why? Stianess eats its fill again era 25

1. #2937 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	70,560
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.85
   the season	×1.20
   Result	66,661

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	5130
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   Result	5734

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Sorksues, of House Rasllia, dies era 25

1. #2943 Sorksues dies (accident, 43 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 10 people flee the hunger of Llaness for Mueness era 25

1. #2950 10 neighbors move from Llaness to Mueness (hunger).

2. #2936 Famine in Llaness.

   • 44% of what was needed was eaten; 8224 rations were missing

3. #2935 Harvest in Llaness: 44% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	32,130
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	6105

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	2160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	521

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 25

1. #2955 Harvest in Llaness: 36% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	27,090
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	4289

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1890
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	379

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 25

1. #2956 Famine in Llaness.

   • 36% of what was needed was eaten; 8157 rations were missing

2. #2955 Harvest in Llaness: 36% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	27,090
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	4289

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1890
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	379

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #2960 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	52,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #2956	×0.36
  Result	11,462

Why? 8 people flee the hunger of Llaness for Mueness era 25

1. #2962 8 neighbors move from Llaness to Mueness (hunger).

2. #2956 Famine in Llaness.

   • 36% of what was needed was eaten; 8157 rations were missing

3. #2955 Harvest in Llaness: 36% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	27,090
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	4289

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1890
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	379

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Chosuizan decides to build a granary in Stianess era 25

1. #2966 Chosuizan decides: build_granary.

   Motive of Chosuizan

   build a granary (chosen)	weight 4352 · 30.74%
   wait	weight 6450
   hold a feast	weight 3352
   the emotion: fear	×1.07
   the memory: famine #2919	×1.16

2. #2919 Famine in Stianess.

   • 15% of what was needed was eaten; 36,360 rations were missing

3. #2918 Harvest in Stianess: 15% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	83,790
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.85
   the season	×0.30
   the drought #2867	×0.30
   Result	5937

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	5940
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the drought #2867	×0.30
   Result	498

4. #2867 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 25

1. #2972 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	25,830
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2863

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1620
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	227

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 25

1. #2973 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 7710 rations were missing

2. #2972 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	25,830
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2863

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1620
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	227

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #2977 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	43,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #2973	×0.29
  Result	7467

Why? 7 people flee the hunger of Llaness for Mueness era 25

1. #2979 7 neighbors move from Llaness to Mueness (hunger).

2. #2973 Famine in Llaness.

   • 28% of what was needed was eaten; 7710 rations were missing

3. #2972 Harvest in Llaness: 28% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	25,830
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2863

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1620
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	227

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 25

1. #2987 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	987

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 25

1. #2988 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 7707 rations were missing

2. #2987 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	987

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #2991 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	34,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #2988	×0.12
  Result	2519

• #2993 Lainchon dies (hunger, 44 years old).

  Chance that season: 17.88%

• #2994 Briala dies (hunger, 31 years old).

  Chance that season: 17.88%

Why? Lainchon, ruler of the Methllerk, dies era 25

1. #2993 Lainchon dies (hunger, 44 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.88%

2. #2988 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 7707 rations were missing

3. #2987 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	987

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Briala, of House Maiskend, dies of hunger era 25

1. #2994 Briala dies (hunger, 31 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.88%

2. #2988 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 7707 rations were missing

3. #2987 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	987

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 4 claimants to the seat of Lainchon era 25

1. #2995 The succession opens.

   • Garkthial: 13 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 728, prestige 1625, kinship 260)
   • Tiandskath: 4 supporters (ties 312, own house 60, command 128, prestige 500)
   • Chosuizan: 1 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 64, prestige 17)
   • Sauslas: 0 supporters ()

2. #2993 Lainchon dies (hunger, 44 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.88%

3. #2988 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 7707 rations were missing

4. #2987 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	987

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Garkthial succeeds Lainchon era 25

1. #2996 The succession is settled in favor of Garkthial.

   • Garkthial: 13 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 728, prestige 1625, kinship 260)
   • Tiandskath: 4 supporters (ties 312, own house 60, command 128, prestige 500)
   • Chosuizan: 1 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 64, prestige 17)
   • Sauslas: 0 supporters ()
   • The leader's margin: 5000 ‱ of the total support

2. #2995 The succession opens.

   • Garkthial: 13 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 728, prestige 1625, kinship 260)
   • Tiandskath: 4 supporters (ties 312, own house 60, command 128, prestige 500)
   • Chosuizan: 1 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 64, prestige 17)
   • Sauslas: 0 supporters ()

3. #2993 Lainchon dies (hunger, 44 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.88%

4. #2988 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 7707 rations were missing

5. #2987 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	987

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

6. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #2997 The laws accept take_office as it was asked.

• #2998 Garkthial is set at the head of Llaness.

• #2999 Garkthial takes the seat of the Methllerk.

Why? 5 people flee the hunger of Llaness for Mueness era 25

1. #3000 5 neighbors move from Llaness to Mueness (hunger).

2. #2988 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 7707 rations were missing

3. #2987 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	987

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 25

1. #3007 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	15,120
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2873

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	195

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 25

1. #3008 Famine in Llaness.

   • 49% of what was needed was eaten; 3142 rations were missing

2. #3007 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	15,120
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2873

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	195

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3011 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	25,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3008	×0.49
  Result	7558

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 25

1. #3023 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	13,230
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2095

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 25

1. #3024 Famine in Llaness.

   • 39% of what was needed was eaten; 3413 rations were missing

2. #3023 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	13,230
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2095

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3027 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	22,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3024	×0.40
  Result	5373

Why? Chosuizan decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 25

1. #3030 Chosuizan decides: feast.

   Motive of Chosuizan

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 3997 · 31.02%
   wait	weight 5045
   build a granary	weight 3840
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: proud	×1.20
   the emotion: sadness	×0.93
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #2127	×0.82

2. #2127 Brausthaus dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 25

1. #3034 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,710
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1187

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	75

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 25

1. #3035 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 3328 rations were missing

2. #3034 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,710
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1187

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	75

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3038 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	18,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3035	×0.27
  Result	2968

Why? Garkthial and Brosdau marry era 25

1. #3041 Garkthial and Brosdau marry (commoner).

   Chance that season: 12.00%

2. #3040 Brosdau, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle by marrying Garkthial.

   Chance that season: 12.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 8 people leave Mueness for Stianess era 25

1. #3043 8 neighbors move from Mueness to Stianess (crowding).

2. #3033 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	200,340
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.71
   the season	×0.70
   Result	92,444

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	14,310
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   Result	9331

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 26

1. #3049 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	8820
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	419

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	32

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 26

1. #3050 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 3599 rations were missing

2. #3049 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	8820
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	419

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	32

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3053 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	15,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3050	×0.11
  Result	1001

• #3055 Garkthial dies (hunger, 46 years old).

  Chance that season: 18.26%

Why? Garkthial, ruler of the Methllerk, dies era 26

1. #3055 Garkthial dies (hunger, 46 years old).

   Chance that season: 18.26%

2. #3050 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 3599 rations were missing

3. #3049 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	8820
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	419

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	32

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Bruethbran founds House Dendthes era 26

1. #3057 Bruethbran founds House Dendthes.

2. #3056 Bruethbran, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 4 claimants to the seat of Garkthial era 26

1. #3060 The succession opens.

   • Brosdau: 10 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 160, prestige 1220, kinship 200)
   • Tiandskath: 6 supporters (ties 318, own house 60, command 192, prestige 732)
   • Chosuizan: 2 supporters (ties 156, own house 60, command 128, prestige 32)
   • Sauslas: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 80, prestige 4)

2. #3055 Garkthial dies (hunger, 46 years old).

   Chance that season: 18.26%

3. #3050 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 3599 rations were missing

4. #3049 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	8820
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	419

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	32

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Brosdau succeeds Garkthial era 26

1. #3061 The succession is settled in favor of Brosdau.

   • Brosdau: 10 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 160, prestige 1220, kinship 200)
   • Tiandskath: 6 supporters (ties 318, own house 60, command 192, prestige 732)
   • Chosuizan: 2 supporters (ties 156, own house 60, command 128, prestige 32)
   • Sauslas: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 80, prestige 4)
   • The leader's margin: 2000 ‱ of the total support

2. #3060 The succession opens.

   • Brosdau: 10 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 160, prestige 1220, kinship 200)
   • Tiandskath: 6 supporters (ties 318, own house 60, command 192, prestige 732)
   • Chosuizan: 2 supporters (ties 156, own house 60, command 128, prestige 32)
   • Sauslas: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 80, prestige 4)

3. #3055 Garkthial dies (hunger, 46 years old).

   Chance that season: 18.26%

4. #3050 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 3599 rations were missing

5. #3049 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	8820
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	419

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	32

6. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3062 The laws accept take_office as it was asked.

• #3063 Brosdau is set at the head of Llaness.

• #3064 Brosdau takes the seat of the Methllerk.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 26

1. #3072 Harvest in Llaness: 38% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	6300
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1197

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	270
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	65

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 26

1. #3073 Famine in Llaness.

   • 38% of what was needed was eaten; 1978 rations were missing

2. #3072 Harvest in Llaness: 38% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	6300
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1197

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	270
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	65

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3076 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	10,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3073	×0.39
  Result	2453

Why? Gaththomai founds House Londia era 26

1. #3079 Gaththomai founds House Londia.

2. #3078 Gaththomai, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Chosuizan decides to build a granary in Stianess era 26

1. #3085 Chosuizan decides: build_granary.

   Motive of Chosuizan

   build a granary (chosen)	weight 3570 · 19.42%
   wait	weight 4446
   raise houses	weight 5706
   hold a feast	weight 4654
   the memory: famine #2919	×1.02

2. #2919 Famine in Stianess.

   • 15% of what was needed was eaten; 36,360 rations were missing

3. #2918 Harvest in Stianess: 15% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	83,790
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.85
   the season	×0.30
   the drought #2867	×0.30
   Result	5937

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	5940
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   the drought #2867	×0.30
   Result	498

4. #2867 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 26

1. #3098 Harvest in Llaness: 36% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	11,340
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1795

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 26

1. #3099 Famine in Llaness.

   • 36% of what was needed was eaten; 3443 rations were missing

2. #3098 Harvest in Llaness: 36% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	11,340
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1795

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3104 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	19,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3099	×0.36
  Result	4240

• #3106 Gaththomai dies (hunger, 35 years old).

  Chance that season: 9.06%

Why? Gaththomai, of House Londia, dies of hunger era 26

1. #3106 Gaththomai dies (hunger, 35 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.06%

2. #3099 Famine in Llaness.

   • 36% of what was needed was eaten; 3443 rations were missing

3. #3098 Harvest in Llaness: 36% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	11,340
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1795

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Londia dies out era 26

1. #3109 House Londia dies out.

2. #3106 Gaththomai dies (hunger, 35 years old).

   Chance that season: 9.06%

3. #3099 Famine in Llaness.

   • 36% of what was needed was eaten; 3443 rations were missing

4. #3098 Harvest in Llaness: 36% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	11,340
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1795

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Brosdau decides to ration the grain in Llaness era 26

1. #3111 Brosdau decides: ration.

   Motive of Brosdau

   ration the grain (chosen)	weight 14,628 · 64.78%
   wait	weight 5283
   send more hands to the fields	weight 2668
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the emotion: fear	×1.71
   the memory: spouse_died from hunger #3055	×1.54

2. #3055 Garkthial dies (hunger, 46 years old).

   Chance that season: 18.26%

3. #3050 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 3599 rations were missing

4. #3049 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	8820
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	419

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	32

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 26

1. #3128 Harvest in Llaness: 25% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1117

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	75

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 26

1. #3129 Famine in Llaness.

   • 25% of what was needed was eaten; 3533 rations were missing

2. #3128 Harvest in Llaness: 25% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1117

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	75

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3134 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	16,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3129	×0.25
  Result	2496

• #3136 Brosdau dies (hunger, 44 years old).

  Chance that season: 13.10%

Why? Brosdau, ruler of the Methllerk, dies era 26

1. #3136 Brosdau dies (hunger, 44 years old).

   Chance that season: 13.10%

2. #3129 Famine in Llaness.

   • 25% of what was needed was eaten; 3533 rations were missing

3. #3128 Harvest in Llaness: 25% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1117

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	75

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 4 claimants to the seat of Brosdau era 26

1. #3140 The succession opens.

   • Tiandskath: 13 supporters (ties 260, own house 60, command 416, prestige 1573)
   • Chosuizan: 5 supporters (ties 237, own house 150, command 320, prestige 75)
   • Zaudan: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 80, prestige 2)
   • Degonchial: 1 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 56, prestige 1)

2. #3136 Brosdau dies (hunger, 44 years old).

   Chance that season: 13.10%

3. #3129 Famine in Llaness.

   • 25% of what was needed was eaten; 3533 rations were missing

4. #3128 Harvest in Llaness: 25% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1117

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	75

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Tiandskath succeeds Brosdau era 26

1. #3141 The succession is settled in favor of Tiandskath.

   • Tiandskath: 13 supporters (ties 260, own house 60, command 416, prestige 1573)
   • Chosuizan: 5 supporters (ties 237, own house 150, command 320, prestige 75)
   • Zaudan: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 80, prestige 2)
   • Degonchial: 1 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 56, prestige 1)
   • The leader's margin: 3809 ‱ of the total support

2. #3140 The succession opens.

   • Tiandskath: 13 supporters (ties 260, own house 60, command 416, prestige 1573)
   • Chosuizan: 5 supporters (ties 237, own house 150, command 320, prestige 75)
   • Zaudan: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 80, prestige 2)
   • Degonchial: 1 supporters (ties 100, own house 30, command 56, prestige 1)

3. #3136 Brosdau dies (hunger, 44 years old).

   Chance that season: 13.10%

4. #3129 Famine in Llaness.

   • 25% of what was needed was eaten; 3533 rations were missing

5. #3128 Harvest in Llaness: 25% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1117

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	75

6. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3142 The laws accept take_office as it was asked.

• #3143 Tiandskath takes the seat of the Methllerk.

Why? Skondzal, at the head of Llaness era 26

1. #3145 Skondzal is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #3136 Brosdau dies (hunger, 44 years old).

   Chance that season: 13.10%

3. #3129 Famine in Llaness.

   • 25% of what was needed was eaten; 3533 rations were missing

4. #3128 Harvest in Llaness: 25% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1117

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	75

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 26

1. #3159 Harvest in Llaness: 10% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	12,600
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	598

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	48

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 26

1. #3160 Famine in Llaness.

   • 10% of what was needed was eaten; 5429 rations were missing

2. #3159 Harvest in Llaness: 10% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	12,600
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	598

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	48

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3165 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	21,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3160	×0.11
  Result	1339

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 26

1. #3178 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,710
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2035

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	130

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 26

1. #3179 Famine in Llaness.

   • 42% of what was needed was eaten; 2965 rations were missing

2. #3178 Harvest in Llaness: 42% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,710
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2035

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	130

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3184 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	18,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3179	×0.42
  Result	4557

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 26

1. #3198 Harvest in Llaness: 37% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	15,750
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2494

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 26

1. #3199 Famine in Llaness.

   • 37% of what was needed was eaten; 4364 rations were missing

2. #3198 Harvest in Llaness: 37% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	15,750
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2494

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3203 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	25,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3199	×0.38
  Result	5787

Why? Chosuizan decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 26

1. #3208 Chosuizan decides: feast.

   Motive of Chosuizan

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 4376 · 30.89%
   wait	weight 4446
   raise houses	weight 5342
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: proud	×1.20
   the emotion: joy	×1.01
   the emotion: sadness	×1.01
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #2127	×0.82

2. #2127 Brausthaus dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 27

1. #3215 Harvest in Llaness: 26% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	18,270
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2025

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 27

1. #3216 Famine in Llaness.

   • 26% of what was needed was eaten; 6059 rations were missing

2. #3215 Harvest in Llaness: 26% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	18,270
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2025

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3220 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	30,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3216	×0.26
  Result	4755

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 27

1. #3237 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	957

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 27

1. #3238 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 8007 rations were missing

2. #3237 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	957

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3243 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	34,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3238	×0.11
  Result	2374

• #3245 Degonchial dies (hunger, 28 years old).

  Chance that season: 18.14%

Why? Degonchial, of House Dendthes, dies of hunger era 27

1. #3245 Degonchial dies (hunger, 28 years old).

   Chance that season: 18.14%

2. #3238 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 8007 rations were missing

3. #3237 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	957

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 27

1. #3253 Harvest in Llaness: 48% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	4070

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	325

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 27

1. #3254 Famine in Llaness.

   • 48% of what was needed was eaten; 4650 rations were missing

2. #3253 Harvest in Llaness: 48% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	4070

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	325

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3259 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	36,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3254	×0.49
  Result	10,495

Why? The drought leaves Mueness short of grain era 27

1. #3276 Harvest in Mueness: 97% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	216,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.70
   the drought #3269	×0.30
   Result	42,021

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	15,390
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the drought #3269	×0.30
   Result	4301

2. #3269 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 27

1. #3277 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	3292

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	271

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 27

1. #3278 Famine in Llaness.

   • 40% of what was needed was eaten; 5212 rations were missing

2. #3277 Harvest in Llaness: 40% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,790
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	3292

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	271

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3283 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	34,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3278	×0.41
  Result	8404

Why? The drought strikes the fields of Stianess era 27

1. #3279 Harvest in Stianess: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	97,020
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.85
   the drought #3269	×0.30
   Result	22,915

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	6750
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the drought #3269	×0.30
   Result	1886

2. #3269 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Muindsa founds House Miassuin era 27

1. #3286 Muindsa founds House Miassuin.

2. #3285 Muindsa, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Tiandskath decides to ration the grain in Mueness era 27

1. #3290 Tiandskath decides: ration.

   Motive of Tiandskath

   ration the grain (chosen)	weight 14,783 · 70.54%
   wait	weight 1268
   send more hands to the fields	weight 4904
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the trait: patient	×1.10
   the emotion: fear	×1.12

2. #3276 Harvest in Mueness: 97% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	216,090
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.70
   the drought #3269	×0.30
   Result	42,021

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	15,390
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the drought #3269	×0.30
   Result	4301

3. #3269 A weather episode begins: drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 27

1. #3301 Harvest in Mueness: 75% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	219,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.70
   the season	×0.70
   Result	99,764

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	15,660
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.70
   Result	10,212

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 27

1. #3302 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	19,530
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2164

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 27

1. #3303 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6055 rations were missing

2. #3302 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	19,530
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2164

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3308 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	33,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3303	×0.28
  Result	5474

• #3310 Skondzal dies (hunger, 38 years old).

  Chance that season: 12.21%

• #3311 Morkstau dies (hunger, 38 years old).

  Chance that season: 12.21%

• #3312 Muindsa dies (hunger, 50 years old).

  Chance that season: 12.21%

Why? Skondzal, head of Llaness, dies era 27

1. #3310 Skondzal dies (hunger, 38 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.21%

2. #3303 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6055 rations were missing

3. #3302 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	19,530
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2164

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Morkstau, of House Maiskend, dies of hunger era 27

1. #3311 Morkstau dies (hunger, 38 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.21%

2. #3303 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6055 rations were missing

3. #3302 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	19,530
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2164

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Muindsa, of House Miassuin, dies of hunger era 27

1. #3312 Muindsa dies (hunger, 50 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.21%

2. #3303 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6055 rations were missing

3. #3302 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	19,530
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2164

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Maiskend dies out era 27

1. #3313 House Maiskend dies out.

2. #3311 Morkstau dies (hunger, 38 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.21%

3. #3303 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6055 rations were missing

4. #3302 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	19,530
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2164

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Miassuin dies out era 27

1. #3314 House Miassuin dies out.

2. #3312 Muindsa dies (hunger, 50 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.21%

3. #3303 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6055 rations were missing

4. #3302 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	19,530
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2164

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Bruethbran, at the head of Llaness era 27

1. #3316 Bruethbran is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #3310 Skondzal dies (hunger, 38 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.21%

3. #3303 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6055 rations were missing

4. #3302 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	19,530
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2164

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	151

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 27

1. #3324 Harvest in Mueness: 52% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	219,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.70
   the season	×0.30
   Result	42,756

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	15,660
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   Result	4376

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? Hunger comes to Mueness era 27

1. #3325 Famine in Mueness.

   • 52% of what was needed was eaten; 53,736 rations were missing

2. #3324 Harvest in Mueness: 52% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	219,870
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.70
   the season	×0.30
   Result	42,756

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	15,660
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×0.30
   Result	4376

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Evidence

• #3330 Season in Mueness: 14 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	436,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3325	×0.52
  Result	136,895

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 27

1. #3326 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	22,680
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1077

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 27

1. #3327 Famine in Llaness.

   • 12% of what was needed was eaten; 7887 rations were missing

2. #3326 Harvest in Llaness: 12% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	22,680
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1077

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3331 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	37,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3327	×0.13
  Result	2880

Why? Thiarkskue founds House Genddauth era 27

1. #3334 Thiarkskue founds House Genddauth.

2. #3333 Thiarkskue, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The harvest falls short in Mueness era 27

1. #3349 Harvest in Mueness: 74% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	217,980
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.70
   the season	×1.20
   Result	169,555

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	15,390
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the season	×1.20
   Result	17,204

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 27

1. #3350 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	18,270
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	3471

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	260

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 27

1. #3351 Famine in Llaness.

   • 49% of what was needed was eaten; 3829 rations were missing

2. #3350 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	18,270
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	3471

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	260

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3355 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	30,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3351	×0.49
  Result	8883

Why? 5 people flee the hunger of Llaness for Mueness era 27

1. #3360 5 neighbors move from Llaness to Mueness (hunger).

2. #3351 Famine in Llaness.

   • 49% of what was needed was eaten; 3829 rations were missing

3. #3350 Harvest in Llaness: 49% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	18,270
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	3471

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	260

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Chosuizan decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 27

1. #3365 Chosuizan decides: feast.

   Motive of Chosuizan

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 4481 · 50.81%
   wait	weight 4338
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: proud	×1.20
   the emotion: joy	×1.02
   the emotion: sadness	×1.02
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #2127	×0.82

2. #2127 Brausthaus dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Mueness eats its fill again era 28

1. #3370 Harvest in Mueness: 100% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	223,650
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   the soil	×0.70
   Result	144,971

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	15,930
   the weather: cycle	×0.93
   Result	14,840

Root: The turning of the seasons: what the world does every season, with its numbers.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 28

1. #3371 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	15,750
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2494

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 28

1. #3372 Famine in Llaness.

   • 39% of what was needed was eaten; 4094 rations were missing

2. #3371 Harvest in Llaness: 39% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	15,750
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2494

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	162

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3376 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	25,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3372	×0.39
  Result	6019

Why? Tiandskath, ruler of the Methllerk, dies era 28

1. #3378 Tiandskath dies (accident, 51 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Giasrial dies out era 28

1. #3379 House Giasrial dies out.

2. #3378 Tiandskath dies (accident, 51 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 4 claimants to the seat of Tiandskath era 28

1. #3380 The succession opens.

   • Chosuizan: 9 supporters (ties 218, own house 150, command 576, prestige 144)
   • Tarialon: 4 supporters (ties 258, own house 90, command 288, prestige 4)
   • Sauslas: 3 supporters (ties 251, own house 90, command 120)
   • Lianra: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 64, prestige 4, kinship 40)

2. #3378 Tiandskath dies (accident, 51 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Chosuizan succeeds Tiandskath era 28

1. #3381 The succession is settled in favor of Chosuizan.

   • Chosuizan: 9 supporters (ties 218, own house 150, command 576, prestige 144)
   • Tarialon: 4 supporters (ties 258, own house 90, command 288, prestige 4)
   • Sauslas: 3 supporters (ties 251, own house 90, command 120)
   • Lianra: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 64, prestige 4, kinship 40)
   • The leader's margin: 2777 ‱ of the total support

2. #3380 The succession opens.

   • Chosuizan: 9 supporters (ties 218, own house 150, command 576, prestige 144)
   • Tarialon: 4 supporters (ties 258, own house 90, command 288, prestige 4)
   • Sauslas: 3 supporters (ties 251, own house 90, command 120)
   • Lianra: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 64, prestige 4, kinship 40)

3. #3378 Tiandskath dies (accident, 51 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3382 The laws accept take_office as it was asked.

• #3383 Chosuizan takes the seat of the Methllerk.

Why? Tuilmon, at the head of Mueness era 28

1. #3385 Tuilmon is set at the head of Mueness.

2. #3378 Tiandskath dies (accident, 51 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Bruethbran decides to ration the grain in Llaness era 28

1. #3389 Bruethbran decides: ration.

   Motive of Bruethbran

   ration the grain (chosen)	weight 13,761 · 66.99%
   wait	weight 6778
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the trait: cautious	×1.30
   the trait: greedy	×1.20
   the emotion: fear	×2.00
   the memory: spouse_died from hunger #3245	×1.54

2. #3245 Degonchial dies (hunger, 28 years old).

   Chance that season: 18.14%

3. #3238 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 8007 rations were missing

4. #3237 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	957

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Chosuizan decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 28

1. #3392 Chosuizan decides: feast.

   Motive of Chosuizan

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5719 · 40.11%
   wait	weight 4287
   raise houses	weight 4249
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: proud	×1.20
   the emotion: joy	×1.25
   the emotion: sadness	×1.06
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #2127	×0.82

2. #2127 Brausthaus dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 28

1. #3399 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	14,490
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1606

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	113

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 28

1. #3400 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 4626 rations were missing

2. #3399 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	14,490
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1606

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	113

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3404 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	24,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3400	×0.27
  Result	3900

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 28

1. #3413 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	13,230
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	628

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	48

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 28

1. #3414 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 4994 rations were missing

2. #3413 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	13,230
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	628

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	48

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3419 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	22,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3414	×0.12
  Result	1609

• #3421 Tarialon dies (hunger, 50 years old).

  Chance that season: 17.97%

Why? Tarialon, of House Genddauth, dies of hunger era 28

1. #3421 Tarialon dies (hunger, 50 years old).

   Chance that season: 17.97%

2. #3414 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 4994 rations were missing

3. #3413 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	13,230
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	628

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	810
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	48

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Bruethbran and Guintauth marry era 28

1. #3423 Bruethbran and Guintauth marry (commoner).

   Chance that season: 12.00%

2. #3422 Guintauth, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle by marrying Bruethbran.

   Chance that season: 12.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Duithsaul founds House Zuelsaun era 28

1. #3425 Duithsaul founds House Zuelsaun.

2. #3424 Duithsaul, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 28

1. #3434 Harvest in Llaness: 43% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1915

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	130

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 28

1. #3435 Famine in Llaness.

   • 43% of what was needed was eaten; 2680 rations were missing

2. #3434 Harvest in Llaness: 43% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	10,080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1915

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	130

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3440 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	16,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3435	×0.43
  Result	4284

Why? Chosuizan decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 28

1. #3442 Chosuizan decides: feast.

   Motive of Chosuizan

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5303 · 35.17%
   wait	weight 4433
   raise houses	weight 5342
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: proud	×1.20
   the emotion: joy	×1.18
   the emotion: sadness	×1.04
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #2127	×0.82

2. #2127 Brausthaus dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 28

1. #3449 Harvest in Llaness: 36% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	9450
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1496

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	108

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 28

1. #3450 Famine in Llaness.

   • 36% of what was needed was eaten; 2851 rations were missing

2. #3449 Harvest in Llaness: 36% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	9450
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	1496

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	540
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	108

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3453 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	15,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3450	×0.36
  Result	3240

Why? Bruethbran decides to ration the grain in Llaness era 28

1. #3461 Bruethbran decides: ration.

   Motive of Bruethbran

   ration the grain (chosen)	weight 44,037 · 81.31%
   wait	weight 3121
   send more hands to the fields	weight 6995
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the trait: cautious	×1.30
   the trait: greedy	×1.20
   the emotion: fear	×2.00
   the memory: spouse_died from hunger #3245	×1.54

2. #3245 Degonchial dies (hunger, 28 years old).

   Chance that season: 18.14%

3. #3238 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 8007 rations were missing

4. #3237 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	957

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	81

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 28

1. #3478 Harvest in Llaness: 26% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2374

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	189

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 28

1. #3479 Famine in Llaness.

   • 26% of what was needed was eaten; 7292 rations were missing

2. #3478 Harvest in Llaness: 26% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2374

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	189

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3484 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	36,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3479	×0.26
  Result	5616

• #3486 Bruethbran dies (hunger, 29 years old).

  Chance that season: 12.81%

Why? Bruethbran, head of Llaness, dies era 28

1. #3486 Bruethbran dies (hunger, 29 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.81%

2. #3479 Famine in Llaness.

   • 26% of what was needed was eaten; 7292 rations were missing

3. #3478 Harvest in Llaness: 26% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2374

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	189

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Chuellail founds House Gasskuil era 28

1. #3488 Chuellail founds House Gasskuil.

2. #3487 Chuellail, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Duithsaul, at the head of Llaness era 28

1. #3492 Duithsaul is set at the head of Llaness.

2. #3486 Bruethbran dies (hunger, 29 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.81%

3. #3479 Famine in Llaness.

   • 26% of what was needed was eaten; 7292 rations were missing

4. #3478 Harvest in Llaness: 26% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2374

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	189

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Chosuizan decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 28

1. #3493 Chosuizan decides: feast.

   Motive of Chosuizan

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5488 · 55.63%
   wait	weight 4376
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: proud	×1.20
   the emotion: joy	×1.22
   the emotion: sadness	×1.05
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #2127	×0.82

2. #2127 Brausthaus dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 28

1. #3500 Harvest in Llaness: 10% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	18,900
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	897

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	65

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 28

1. #3501 Famine in Llaness.

   • 10% of what was needed was eaten; 7813 rations were missing

2. #3500 Harvest in Llaness: 10% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	18,900
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	897

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	65

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3506 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	31,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3501	×0.11
  Result	2071

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 29

1. #3521 Harvest in Llaness: 45% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	22,050
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	4190

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	325

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 29

1. #3522 Famine in Llaness.

   • 45% of what was needed was eaten; 5340 rations were missing

2. #3521 Harvest in Llaness: 45% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	22,050
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	4190

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×1.20
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	325

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3527 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	37,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3522	×0.46
  Result	10,307

Why? Chosuizan decides to hold a feast in Stianess era 29

1. #3529 Chosuizan decides: feast.

   Motive of Chosuizan

   hold a feast (chosen)	weight 5561 · 55.96%
   wait	weight 4376
   the people's value: community	×1.43
   the people's value: honor	×1.02
   the trait: proud	×1.20
   the emotion: joy	×1.23
   the emotion: sadness	×1.05
   the memory: spouse_died from accident #2127	×0.82

2. #2127 Brausthaus dies (accident, 34 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 29

1. #3539 Harvest in Llaness: 38% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	3392

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	271

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 29

1. #3540 Famine in Llaness.

   • 38% of what was needed was eaten; 5922 rations were missing

2. #3539 Harvest in Llaness: 38% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	3392

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	271

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3544 Season in Llaness: 0 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	36,000
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3540	×0.38
  Result	8253

• #3547 Thiarkskue dies (hunger, 49 years old).

  Chance that season: 8.33%

Why? Chosuizan, ruler of the Methllerk, dies era 29

1. #3546 Chosuizan dies (accident, 49 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Thiarkskue, of House Genddauth, dies of hunger era 29

1. #3547 Thiarkskue dies (hunger, 49 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.33%

2. #3540 Famine in Llaness.

   • 38% of what was needed was eaten; 5922 rations were missing

3. #3539 Harvest in Llaness: 38% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	3392

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	271

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Genddauth dies out era 29

1. #3548 House Genddauth dies out.

2. #3547 Thiarkskue dies (hunger, 49 years old).

   Chance that season: 8.33%

3. #3540 Famine in Llaness.

   • 38% of what was needed was eaten; 5922 rations were missing

4. #3539 Harvest in Llaness: 38% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	21,420
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	3392

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	271

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? 4 claimants to the seat of Chosuizan era 29

1. #3549 The succession opens.

   • Skairkta: 12 supporters (ties 151, own house 30, command 480, prestige 156, kinship 240)
   • Zolialthes: 3 supporters (ties 210, own house 90, command 48, prestige 39, kinship 60)
   • Duithsaul: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 96, prestige 4)
   • Guintauth: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 96, prestige 2)

2. #3546 Chosuizan dies (accident, 49 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Skairkta succeeds Chosuizan era 29

1. #3550 The succession is settled in favor of Skairkta.

   • Skairkta: 12 supporters (ties 151, own house 30, command 480, prestige 156, kinship 240)
   • Zolialthes: 3 supporters (ties 210, own house 90, command 48, prestige 39, kinship 60)
   • Duithsaul: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 96, prestige 4)
   • Guintauth: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 96, prestige 2)
   • The leader's margin: 4736 ‱ of the total support

2. #3549 The succession opens.

   • Skairkta: 12 supporters (ties 151, own house 30, command 480, prestige 156, kinship 240)
   • Zolialthes: 3 supporters (ties 210, own house 90, command 48, prestige 39, kinship 60)
   • Duithsaul: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 96, prestige 4)
   • Guintauth: 2 supporters (ties 200, own house 60, command 96, prestige 2)

3. #3546 Chosuizan dies (accident, 49 years old).

   Chance that season: 0.35%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3551 The laws accept take_office as it was asked.

• #3552 Skairkta is set at the head of Stianess.

• #3553 Skairkta takes the seat of the Methllerk.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 29

1. #3561 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2234

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	189

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Hunger comes to Llaness era 29

1. #3562 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6352 rations were missing

2. #3561 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2234

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	189

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Evidence

• #3567 Season in Llaness: 1 born among the unnamed.

  The chance of a birth

  Ruleset base	34,500
  breeds slowly (a price charged by the laws)	×0.60
  the hunger of the last harvest #3562	×0.28
  Result	5715

• #3569 Guintauth dies (hunger, 31 years old).

  Chance that season: 12.22%

Why? Guintauth, of House Dendthes, dies of hunger era 29

1. #3569 Guintauth dies (hunger, 31 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.22%

2. #3562 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6352 rations were missing

3. #3561 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2234

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	189

4. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Taulskuen founds House Daisbruil era 29

1. #3571 Taulskuen founds House Daisbruil.

2. #3570 Taulskuen, one of the common folk, enters the chronicle: Llaness had no one left with a name.

   Chance that season: 25.00%

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? House Dendthes dies out era 29

1. #3572 House Dendthes dies out.

2. #3569 Guintauth dies (hunger, 31 years old).

   Chance that season: 12.22%

3. #3562 Famine in Llaness.

   • 27% of what was needed was eaten; 6352 rations were missing

4. #3561 Harvest in Llaness: 27% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	20,160
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	2234

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1350
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.70
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	189

5. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? The bad weather leaves Llaness short of grain era 29

1. #3583 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	17,010
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	808

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	65

2. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.

Root: Chance, with the probabilities shown above.

Why? Famine in Llaness era 29

1. #3584 Famine in Llaness.

   • 11% of what was needed was eaten; 6822 rations were missing

2. #3583 Harvest in Llaness: 11% of what was needed is eaten.

   What was farmed

   Ruleset base	17,010
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the soil	×0.79
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	808

   What was gathered

   Ruleset base	1080
   the weather: cycle	×1.01
   the season	×0.30
   the weather: long_drought #2428	×0.20
   Result	65

3. #2428 A weather episode begins: long_drought.